IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	+0.7	#151
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.2	#137
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.1	#180

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.8	#138

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.1%	3.6%	1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	1.3%	1.5%	0.2%
Average Seed	11.2	11.1	11.5

.500 or above	52.7%	58.1%	28.7%
.500 or above in Conference	43.2%	46.5%	28.6%
Conference Champion	2.0%	2.3%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	7.8%	6.5%	13.6%

First Four	0.7%	0.9%	0.1%
First Round	2.7%	3.1%	1.1%
Second Round	0.8%	1.0%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 81.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 3	5 - 5	6 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 3	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	267	Navy	W	75-65	82%
Nov 08, 2019	260	Longwood	W	77-68	80%
Nov 13, 2019	210	LIU Brooklyn	W	79-72	72%
Nov 16, 2019	232	James Madison	W	73-65	75%
Nov 19, 2019	209	Loyola Maryland	W	78-71	72%
Nov 22, 2019	9	@ Maryland	L	61-80	5%
Nov 25, 2019	139	Old Dominion	L	64-65	48%
Dec 03, 2019	216	Jacksonville St.	W	74-67	73%
Dec 07, 2019	184	American	W	74-68	69%
Dec 21, 2019	206	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	70-64	71%
Dec 30, 2019	68	@ TCU	L	68-78	19%
Jan 05, 2020	28	Virginia Commonwealth	L	66-75	23%
Jan 08, 2020	115	St. Bonaventure	W	67-66	51%
Jan 11, 2020	189	@ La Salle	L	72-73	49%
Jan 15, 2020	190	@ George Washington	L	70-71	49%
Jan 18, 2020	105	Richmond	L	72-73	48%
Jan 22, 2020	237	Massachusetts	W	76-68	75%
Jan 25, 2020	52	@ Davidson	L	63-75	16%
Jan 28, 2020	86	Rhode Island	L	70-73	42%
Feb 01, 2020	115	@ St. Bonaventure	L	63-69	31%
Feb 09, 2020	237	@ Massachusetts	W	73-71	56%
Feb 12, 2020	28	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	63-78	11%
Feb 15, 2020	190	George Washington	W	73-67	68%
Feb 19, 2020	105	@ Richmond	L	69-75	30%
Feb 22, 2020	221	Saint Joseph's	W	76-69	72%
Feb 25, 2020	60	Dayton	L	67-72	34%
Feb 29, 2020	126	@ Duquesne	L	72-77	34%
Mar 04, 2020	141	Saint Louis	W	69-66	59%
Mar 07, 2020	233	@ Fordham	W	67-65	55%
Projected Record						15 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.5	0.1	0.0		2.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.5	1.2	1.2	0.5	0.1				3.6	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.7	2.0	1.9	0.5	0.0					5.2	3rd
4th										0.1	0.8	2.7	2.4	0.7	0.0						6.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.7	2.8	3.5	0.9	0.0							7.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.0	4.0	1.4	0.1								9.0	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.8	4.3	1.8	0.1	0.0								9.3	7th
8th							0.1	2.1	5.0	2.4	0.3	0.0									9.9	8th
9th						0.1	1.3	4.7	3.4	0.5	0.0										10.1	9th
10th					0.1	1.1	3.9	3.6	0.7	0.0											9.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.9	3.4	3.5	1.0	0.0	0.0											8.8	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.7	2.6	3.1	1.0	0.1													7.6	12th
13th		0.1	0.9	2.1	2.4	0.8	0.1														6.4	13th
14th	0.2	0.7	1.5	1.3	0.5	0.1															4.3	14th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.4	4.1	6.6	8.6	10.0	11.7	12.5	11.0	9.7	8.5	5.8	4.1	2.3	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	87.4%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	54.2%	0.6		0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	22.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	4.8%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.0%	2.0		0.9	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	48.6%	51.4%	4.8				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0	0.0									100.0%
17-1	0.1%		80.3%	20.1%	60.2%	7.4			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		75.4%
16-2	0.6%		61.4%	23.8%	37.6%	8.9					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2		49.4%
15-3	1.1%		44.5%	21.5%	23.1%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.6		29.4%
14-4	2.3%		26.9%	12.7%	14.2%	11.3							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0			1.7		16.2%
13-5	4.1%		11.8%	8.0%	3.8%	11.7								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			3.6		4.1%
12-6	5.8%		8.1%	5.7%	2.4%	12.1										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		5.3		2.6%
11-7	8.5%		2.7%	2.2%	0.5%	12.4											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.2		0.5%
10-8	9.7%		1.4%	1.3%	0.1%	13.0												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0		9.6		0.1%
9-9	11.0%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.9		0.0%
8-10	12.5%		0.6%	0.6%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	12.4
7-11	11.7%		0.2%	0.2%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	11.6
6-12	10.0%		0.2%	0.2%		13.4														0.0	0.0	0.0		9.9
5-13	8.6%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			8.6
4-14	6.6%																							6.6
3-15	4.1%																							4.1
2-16	2.4%																							2.4
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		3.1%	1.9%	1.3%	11.2			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	96.9		1.3%